Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 4.808696 5.220812 5.667744 6.191248 6.791255 7.461853 8.274273
2025-03-30 4.055832 4.600773 5.233534 6.033160 7.032446 8.262344 9.927672
2025-04-06 3.589616 4.184495 4.905850 5.864373 7.136182 8.815651 11.295333
2025-04-13 3.254042 3.869232 4.639430 5.702559 7.180961 9.248579 12.536735
2025-04-20 3.030779 3.664930 4.480946 5.645628 7.335397 9.828861 14.093228
2025-04-27 2.916953 3.586828 4.472905 5.781765 7.767540 10.874465 16.649331
2025-05-04 2.826936 3.529385 4.482342 5.936020 8.238457 12.057344 19.804571
2025-05-11 2.699289 3.409082 4.390798 5.926330 8.443246 12.823309 22.407788
2025-05-18 2.594105 3.311473 4.321766 5.940026 8.682150 13.688331 25.545275
2025-05-25 2.443615 3.140038 4.131906 5.744580 8.535870 13.794104 26.938238
2025-06-01 2.321388 3.002291 3.982800 5.600789 8.461570 14.026290 28.753199
2025-06-08 2.250585 2.934913 3.934445 5.615949 8.673945 14.885808 32.701959
2025-06-15 2.204080 2.906436 3.952209 5.758721 9.176275 16.567644 40.557581
2025-06-22 2.092387 2.776073 3.804919 5.608734 9.098840 16.930255 44.388720
2025-06-29 1.990201 2.654671 3.663979 5.456955 8.996903 17.212988 48.236532
2025-07-06 1.898009 2.543866 3.533169 5.311658 8.888624 17.456744 52.238168
2025-07-13 1.832258 2.470384 3.458108 5.260495 8.971836 18.233625 59.742493
2025-07-20 1.805245 2.455196 3.476775 5.382792 9.449675 20.268455 77.582012
2025-07-27 1.782573 2.445300 3.503004 5.521179 9.988443 22.716114 105.116067
2025-08-03 1.735325 2.393970 3.455824 5.512491 10.180115 24.136879 129.893373
2025-08-10 1.694704 2.351366 3.420960 5.524770 10.425526 25.860792 166.968885
2025-08-17 1.625826 2.260378 3.297738 5.349403 10.173894 25.662864 178.278153
2025-08-24 1.568205 2.185821 3.200132 5.220178 10.027419 25.845882 198.366676